Socionomics is a field of study conducted under the hypothesis that waves of social mood motivate the character of social actions. (my source book: Evolutionary and cyclical history from a natural science perspective. They run out of sync with the similar-length Schlesinger cycles, so they must have different driving forces. Everything from skyrocketing inequality and political gridlock to white working class angst and the rise of mass shootings and other troubling signs of our times — these are all interconnected reflections of where America is in a cyclic historical process: social integration followed by disintegration, discord and violence. Elite competition worsened starting in the 1970s and worsening in the 1980s. So, I have read all of your published books. These combine to influence the broader social mood, which is characterized in eras of discord by fragmented loyalty to self-serving special interests (disintegration) and in eras of cooperation by a desire and willingness to cooperate and compromise for the good of the entire society (integration). Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Historians, and even poets, have long been familiar with cycles of rise and fall, but understanding them has proved more difficult. Associated Press articles: Copyright © 2016 The Associated Press. Comments may take up to an hour for moderation before appearing on the site. The Russian Revolution came 50 years later — when Russia was hit by its own elite overproduction.). There is a steady sequential set of highly charged political events throughout Europe coming in 2017 which portends of mounting political instability and social unrest. Amid a global pandemic—which has so far killed more than 116,000 people in the U.S. and resulted in record unemployment rates—national unrest erupted at the end of May over the death of George Floyd, a 46-year-old Black man who begged for his life as a white Minneapolis police officer kneeled on his neck for nearly nine minutes. Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion and encourage all readers to share their views on our articles. The development of the Greek city-states and the development of the European states were evaluated within the same framework, and great similarities were established between the Peloponnesian wars and the World wars. Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, and provides an explanation of long-term oscillations in demographic, social, and political structures of complex societies. cross- generational inheritable recollections which can affect human memory of next generations and they can determine a future type of society ( tyranny, oligarchy, monarchy, democracy), Epigenetic modern analogy is Leningrad blocada 1941-1943 produced harmonic changes and stable inheritable ” memory interventions” in the next generations. Liberal eras end because it can be hard to sustain massive activism efforts, especially when the efforts have some success. The explosive mixture is about the Fiat paper reserves underpinning the global economic system which are presently built on failing wealth creation which is required to maintain the collateral values supporting the pyramided debt leverage levels through financial "gimmicks" such as rehypothecation. ------------------------------------------, Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History, "Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World", Ages Of Discord: A Structural-demographic Analysis Of American History.
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